National Accounts of the Philippines - Highlights - Confidence Intervals

National Accounts of the Philippines

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4th Quarter 2015
Gross National Income & Gross Domestic Product

 

Confidence Intervals for the True Growth Rate
of the Gross Domestic Product (GDP)

 

Period GDP Confidence Intervals for the True Growth Rate of GDP
Growth1/ 90% 95% 99%
2004 Q1 6.4 6.1 7.3 5.8 6.9 5.6 7.7
  Q2 6.2 5.5 6.9 5.8 7.1 5.1 7.3
  Q3 6.3 5.7 6.6 5.9 7.2 5.4 7.4
  Q4 5.4 4.6 5.9 4.5 6.1 4.8 6.3
2005 Q1 4.6 3.7 5.0 3.6 5.1 3.4 5.4
  Q2 4.8 4.1 5.1 3.9 5.4 4.2 5.7
  Q3 4.1 3.6 4.5 3.3 4.4 3.1 4.5
  Q4 6.1 5.5 6.5 5.3 6.6 5.1 6.9
2006 Q1 5.5 5.0 6.0 4.8 5.8 4.8 5.9
  Q2 5.5 5.0 6.0 4.9 6.1 4.8 6.3
  Q3 4.8 4.3 5.4 4.3 5.1 4.1 5.2
  Q4 4.8 4.3 5.0 4.3 5.4 4.1 5.2
2007 Q1 7.0 6.7 7.2 6.4 7.7 6.3 7.9
  Q2 7.6 7.3 7.8 7.0 8.4 6.9 8.0
  Q3 6.4 6.2 7.1 6.1 7.2 5.9 7.4
  Q4 7.4 7.2 8.1 7.1 8.1 6.9 8.3
2008 Q1 5.4 5.2 6.0 5.1 6.1 4.9 6.2
  Q2 4.6 4.3 4.8 4.3 4.9 4.2 5.0
  Q3 5.0 4.6 5.5 4.6 5.5 4.4 5.7
  Q4 4.5 4.1 4.9 4.0 5.0 3.9 5.1
2009 Q1 0.6 0.3 1.0 0.2 1.1 0.0 1.2
  Q2 2.0 1.6 2.4 1.6 2.4 1.4 2.6
  Q3 0.8 0.5 1.2 0.5 1.3 0.3 1.4
  Q4 1.7 1.4 2.1 1.3 2.2 1.2 2.3
2010 Q1 7.3 7.0 7.7 6.9 7.8 6.8 7.9
  Q2 7.9 7.6 8.3 7.5 8.4 7.3 8.5
  Q3 6.5 6.1 6.8 6.0 6.8 5.9 7.0
  Q4 7.1 6.7 7.4 6.6 7.5 6.5 7.6
2011 Q1 4.6 4.2 4.9 4.1 4.9 4.0 5.1
  Q2 3.4 3.0 3.7 3.0 3.8 2.9 3.9
  Q3 3.2 2.8 3.5 2.8 3.6 2.7 3.7
  Q4 3.7 3.4 4.0 3.3 4.1 3.2 4.2
2012 Q1 6.4 6.1 6.8 6.1 6.8 5.9 6.9
  Q2 5.9 5.7 6.3 5.6 6.4 5.5 6.5
  Q3 7.1 6.9 7.5 6.8 7.6 6.7 7.7
  Q4 6.8 6.6 7.3 6.6 7.3 6.5 7.5
2013 Q1 7.8 7.6 8.3 7.6 8.3 7.5 8.4
  Q2 7.5 7.3 8.0 7.3 8.0 7.2 8.1
  Q3 7.0 6.8 7.4 6.7 7.5 6.6 7.6
  Q4 6.5 6.3 6.9 6.2 7.0 6.1 7.1
2014 Q1 5.7 5.5 6.1 5.5 6.2 5.4 6.3
  Q2 6.4 6.2 6.8 6.1 6.8 6.0 6.9
  Q3 5.3 5.1 5.7 5.0 5.7 4.9 5.8
  Q4 6.9 6.7 7.3 6.7 7.4 6.6 7.5
2015 Q1 5.2 5.0 5.5 4.9 5.6 4.8 5.7
  Q2 5.6 5.4 5.9 5.3 6.0 5.2 6.1
  Q3 6.0 5.9 6.4 5.8 6.5 5.7 6.6
  Q4 6.3 6.2 6.7 6.1 6.8 6.0 6.9

 

1/ refers to GDP growth as initially estimated

Source: Philippine Statistics Authority

Posted: 28 January 2016

 

 


 

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Updated 28 January 2016

Ver. 7.2014.234-11.04

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